Prediction and odds for the game: Valencia (14/5) v Real Madrid (4/5)
We are backing the Real Madrid win.
When: Wednesday 08th January 2020, Kick-off 7 PM
Where: The King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah, Saudi Arabia)
On Wednesday night, Valencia and Real Madrid go head-to-head in the first semi-final of the Spanish Super Cup. The wins will face either Barcelona or Atletico Madrid.
Valencia
Los Ches book their place in the newly four-team formatted Super Cup by winning the Copa del Rey against champions Barcelona. Since winning the Spanish cup they have replaced head coach Marcelino with former Barcelona midfielder Albert Celades.
Valencia seems to be over their poor start to the La Liga campaign, as they are seven matches unbeaten in all competitions, having recorded four wins and three draws. Their recent decent run of form has seen them move into the European places in the Spanish top-flight.
Their recent outings have been tight, low-scoring affairs though, with under 2.5 goals scored in their last four matches in all competitions.
Los Ches have made four previous appearances in the Spanish Super Cup, winning it on just one occasion in 1999. Their other three appearances saw them finish as runners-up, as until this season the competition was just two teams.
Real Madrid
The team from the Spanish capital are enjoying a strong domestic season so far, even if they have not been at their best in the Champions League. Zinedine Zidane’s team are currently level on points with arch-rivals Barcelona at the top of the table.
Los Blancos heads into this game 14 games unbeaten in all competitions, with their last defeat coming back in October against Real Mallorca. Their recent games have been rather uncharacteristically low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last six outings in all competitions.
A big factor in those recent low-scoring games is the fact Real Madrid have kept clean sheets in four of those aforementioned six matches. At the other end of the pitch, they have also scored just four times in as many outings in all competitions.
Real Madrid have a major history with the Spanish Super Cup, as only Barcelona have won the competition more times than Real Madrid’s ten victories. Their most recent victory came in 2017 when they recorded a 3-1 victory over the Catalan giants. Los Blancos have also finished as runners-up on two occasions, the last time being 2014.
The team from Spanish capital have lost just once in the last six meetings with Valencia in all competitions.
Conclusion
We are backing Real Madrid to just edge this clash. However, Valencia are no pushovers and we believe it will be a tight contest, so we are also backing the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 11/8, as both team’s recent outings have been relatively tight.
Verdict: We are backing Real Madrid to win at odds of 4/5 and/or under 2.5 goals at odds of 11/8. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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