Prediction and odds for the game: PSG (8/13) v Dortmund (7/2)
We are backing the over 3.5 goals scored at odds of 10/11
When: Wednesday 11th March 2020, Kick-off 8 PM
Where: The Parc des Princes
On Wednesday night, PSG host Dortmund at the Parc des Princes, in the Champions League last-16 second leg. The tie is in the balance after BVB claimed a 2-1 victory in the first leg.
PSG
Since the first leg defeat at Signal Iduna Park, the reigning French champions have recorded three straight victories. Not only have Thomas Tuchel’s team won the games, but they have also scored at least four goals in each of the wins.
Striker Kylian Mbappe has been on fire in recent games, scoring five times in his last two appearances for the French giants. On current form, he will fancy his chances of adding to his recent goal tally against a BVB defence that is still vulnerable, despite a slight recent improvement of late.
The first leg defeat was PSG’s first in the Champions League this season. Tuchel’s side had cruised through the group stage by recording five wins and a draw. The Parisians also had a formidable defensive record in the group stage campaign, as they kept five clean sheets in six matches.
PSG have a strong recent home record in the Champions League, as they have won four of their last five matches on home soil. Real Madrid and Manchester United are the only visiting teams to win at PSG in this competition in 20 home games.
Dortmund
The visitors prepared for this game with a potentially vital win over Bundesliga title rivals Monchengladbach. The victory keeps Lucien Favre’s team well in the hunt for the German top-flight title. It was also BVB’s fifth straight win in all competitions.
Not only is their recent record strong, but BVB’s recent results in the Champions League have been pretty impressive. The visitors attacking prowess was an important factor in their recent good results in the competition, as Favre’s team has scored at least two goals in four of their last six European matches. Their attacking endeavours have also contributed to their last four Champions League games producing over 2.5 goals.
Dortmund have a poor recent away record in the Champions League, having lost three of their last four matches on their travels. Their recent away games in this competition have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven matches.
Conclusion
This match pits two of the best attacking teams against each other. Both teams are prolific in front of goal, which is why we are backing the over 2.5 goals to be scored. We are also backing PSG striker Kylian Mbappe to maintain his recent goalscoring run by being an anytime goalscorer.
Verdict: We are backing over 2.5 goals to be scored at odds of 10/11 and/or Kylian Mbappe to score at any time at odds of 10/13. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Who will come out on top between these two free-scoring teams?
