Prediction and odds for the game: Walter Ferretti (5/2) v Real Esteli (19/20)
We are backing the away win
When: Monday 06th March 2020, Kick-off midnight (GMT)
Where: The Estadio Nacional de Futbol (UNAN)
In the early hours of Monday (GMT), Walter Ferretti host Real Esteli in a big in from the Nicaraguan Primera Division.
Walter Ferretti
The home side are fifth-place in the league table, despite a woeful recent run of form in the Primera Division. A 2-1 defeat at Diriangen last time out means that Walter Ferretti have won four of their last five matches in Nicaraguan the top-flight.
Hapless recent defensive displays have contributed to those poor recent league results, as the home team has conceded at least two goals in three of their last four matches.
Walter Ferretti’s recent form has been highly inconsistent. A record of three wins from their last seven matches on home soil in the top-flight illustrates that fact.
Their recent home games in the Primera Division have been high-scoring affairs, as nine of their last ten home games have produced over 2.5 goals. Walter Ferretti have scored in ten of their last 11 games on home soil in the Nicaraguan top-flight, which has been a factor in those high-scoring matches.
Real Esteli
The visitors are currently second place in the Primera Division, three points behind Managua with a game in-hand. Their recent form has powered their bid for top-spot, as Real Esteli are unbeaten in five leagues, having recorded four victories in the process. A 1-1 draw at top of the table rivals Managua ended a four-game winning run in the Nicaraguan top-flight.
Their recent league outings have been relatively low-scoring affairs, with under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last ten matches. Real Esteli have the second-best defensive record in the league, which may have been a big factor in the low-scoring matches.
Real Esteli’s recent away record in the Primera Division is not the best, as they have won just once on their travels in four matches. However, on the flip-side, they have also suffered defeat in just one of their last six league matches on the road. Their recent away games have been low-scoring, as under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of their last 11 matches on their travels.
Conclusion
The home side are in poor form and struggling to avoid defeat at present. Meanwhile, the away team have been in stellar form of late. For those reasons, we are backing the away victory. The other bet we are recommending is the over 2.5 goals scored, as the home sides are relatively potent at home, while the visitors have looked dangerous in attack of late.
Verdict: we are backing the away win at odds of 1/2 and/or the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/13. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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