Prediction and odds for the game: Villarreal (5/4) v Valencia (11/5)

We are backing the home win

When: Sunday, 28th June 2020, Kick-off 16:00

Where: Estadio de la Ceramica

On Sunday afternoon, Villarreal and Valencia go head-to-head at the Estadio de La Ceramica in La Liga, in what could prove to be a pivotal match in the fight for European football for next season.

Villarreal

The home side are in decent form heading into this potentially crucial clash. A 2-2 draw at the Ceramica against Sevilla last time out means they are undefeated in their last four league matches, having recorded three wins in the process.

The Yellow Submarine have improved defensive of late in the Spanish top-flight, as they have kept three clean sheets in their last four league outings. The Sevilla draw ended a positive run in defence for Javi Calleja.

Villarreal’s recent league games have been low-scoring affairs of late, with those clean sheets having an impact on the scorelines. In fact, four of their last six La Liga matches have produced under 2.5 goals.

Calleja’s team have a decent recent home record in the Spanish top-flight, as they have won three of their previous five outings at the Ceramica in La Liga. Unlike their recent league games in general, Villarreal’s recent home matches in the Spanish top-flight have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last six matches.

Valencia

The visitors are breathing down the neck of Villarreal in the race for the European spots. Los Che are just two points adrift of the sixth-place home side, with Real Sociedad sandwiched in-between.

Despite their still promising position in the table, Albert Celades team have been in poor league form. A 1-0 loss at Eibar last time out means that the visitors have won one of their last six competitive games. It also means that they have now kept just one clean sheet in their previous nine games in the Spanish top-flight. Their recent league games have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches.

Valencia have struggled badly on their travels in recent months. Los Che are winless in seven league games on their travels, having suffered five defeats in the process. A poor defensive record has been the biggest factor in that woeful recent away record, as they have conceded at least three goals in four of their previous six league matches on their travels.

Conclusion

Villarreal have certainly been in better form of late than the visitors. We are backing the Yellow Submarine to record a victory in a high-scoring clash, as Los Che’s recent defensive displays on their travels have been awful. That should lead to a high-scoring encounter.

Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 5/4 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 10/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).

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