Prediction and odds for the game: Porto (31/10) vs Juventus (evens)

We are backing the away win

When: Wednesday, 17th February 2021, Kick-off 20:00

Where: Estadio Do Dragao

On Wednesday night, Porto host Juventus at the Estadio Do Dragao in a first leg clash of the last-16 of the Champions League.

Porto

The Portuguese outfit has been on a frustrating run of form of late, as they have drawn their previous four games in all competitions. The draws have meant that title rivals and leaders Sporting have moved seven points clear at the top of the table and the team from Lisbon have a game in-hand too.

Sergio Conceicao’s team will put their league struggles to one side for what seems to be a difficult task against the visiting Italian giants. Porto came through a group that also involved Manchester City, Marseille and Olympiakos. After a gameweek one defeat by City, the home side mounted a five-game unbeaten record in the competition, including recording four wins.

Porto’s solid defensive displays played a big role in qualification for the last-16, as they have kept clean sheets in their last five games in the Champions League. They have also looked dangerous in attack in that unbeaten run, scoring at least two goals in four of their last five matches in the Champions League.

Juventus

The Bianconeri have enjoyed a mixed first campaign with club legend Andrea Pirlo in the dugout by their high standards. A 1-0 defeat by Napoli at the weekend means that Juventus have failed to win in their last two competitive outings. However, it was only the visitor’s second defeat in 13 games in all competitions.

The defeat came despite a recent defensive improvement from the reigning Italian champions, who have managed to keep clean sheets in six of their previous eight matches in all competitions.

Juventus enjoyed a strong group campaign, as they won five of their six games in a group alongside Barcelona, Dynamo Kiev and Ferencvaros. They won their last four group games while scoring at least two goals in all of the wins. The highlight of the group stage for the visitors was a 3-0 win at Barcelona’s Nou Camp.

The Bianconeri’s recent away form in the Champions League has been good, as they have won five of their last six away games. The visitors have also suffered just one defeat in their previous eight matches on their travels in European football’s elite competition.

Conclusion

In truth, neither of these teams are in great form. However, Juventus have looked dangerous on their travels in the Champions League this season. Despite Porto’s good home record in the Champions League, we are backing Pirlo’s team to come out on top in this clash. We think it could be a tight and low-scoring encounter, so we are also backing under 2.5 goals scored.

Verdict: We are backing the away win at evens and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 4/6. (All odds are taken from Bet365).

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Which team will pick up a vital advantage in this first leg clash?