Prediction and odds for the game: Milan (23/10) vs Manchester United (23/20)

We are backing the draw at odds of 12/5

When: Thursday, 18th March 2021, Kick-off 20:00

Where: The San Siro

On Thursday night, Milan host Manchester United at the San Siro, in the Europa League last-16 second leg. The tie is well balanced after the first leg finished 1-1.

Milan

The Italian giant’s form has been slightly inconsistent of late after a stellar start to the campaign. A weekend 1-0 home defeat at Napoli means that the Rossoneri have won just one of their last four games in all competitions. They have also won just two of their previous nine competitive games.

The poor recent run of league form has seen Stefano Pioli’s team fall nine points behind league leaders and arch-rivals Inter in the race for the Scudetto.

Milan have a good recent record in European football’s secondary competition, as the Rossoneri have lost just once in their last 12 games in the competition. They have also drawn their last three matches in the Europa League.

The Rossoneri have a relatively strong recent home record in the Europa League, as the home team have won four of their last six games at the San Siro in the competition.

Manchester United

The Red Devils have been hard to beat in recent months, as they are unbeaten in 13 games in all competitions. Their good form has cemented the visitor’s position in the Premier League’s Champions League spots, even if they are now too far adrift of league leaders and arch-rivals Manchester City.

United’s most recent matches have been low-scoring, with their last six competitive games producing under 2.5 goals. The fact that the visitors have kept clean sheets in their last four games in all competitions has made a big contribution to those low-scoring clashes.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s team have been difficult to beat in the Europa League, as United have suffered just one defeat in their last ten games in European football’s secondary competition. Their only defeat in that run was a 2-1 loss to Sevilla in the last-16 of the competition.

United have an inconsistent recent away record in the Europa League, as their recent record of two wins, two defeats and a draw in their last five games in the competition. Their European away games have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five matches on their travels.

Conclusion

The first leg of this tie was a close and low-scoring affair. We are backing this game to finish in a draw. The other bet we are recommending is under 2.5 goals scored, as this could be another tight game.

Verdict: We are backing the draw at odds of 12/5 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 10/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365)

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