On Saturday afternoon, Atalanta host reigning Italian champions Juventus at the Gewiss Stadium, as the visitors look to extend their lead at the top of Serie A.
Atalanta (Odds of 15/8 for victory)
Experienced boss Gian Piero Gasperini has turned the home side into a very competitive outfit in the Italian top-flight in recent seasons. The boys from Bergamo are currently fifth-place, only outside the Champions League berth by a point.
They will be hoping to match last seasons achievement of finishing in Serie A’s top-four. However, a recent poor run of form in the Italian top-flight has not helped their chances of making it back into the Champions League spots. Last time out, Sampdoria held them to a 0-0 draw in Genoa.
Unusually for free-scoring Atalanta, they have now failed to score in their last two Serie A outings. In fact, Gasperini’s team are the highest scorers in the Italian top-flight, having scored ten more than the visitors, who are leading the table. However, on the flip-side, team in Serie A’s top eight has conceded more goals than the home side.
Atalanta’s recent home form has been unconvincing, as they have won just two of their last five outings at the Gewiss Stadium in Serie A. Despite their patchy recent home form, they have still scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight league games on home soil.
Juventus (Odds of 11/8 for victory)
The Bianconeri are in their seemingly usual position at the top of Serie A, having started their league campaign with a 12-game unbeaten run. Maurizio Sarri’s team has won ten of their 12 league games this season. Yet are still only a point clear of second-place Inter, who have also started the season in fine form.
The reigning champions have been relatively prolific of late in front of goal, scoring at least twice in six of their last nine league outings.
The visitors head to Bergamo undefeated in six away games in the Italian top-flight, having recorded four wins and two draws. Their recent matches on their travels have been low-scoring affairs, with under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last nine matches. Just three clean sheets in their last ten away matches is not exactly the record of Italian champions.
Juventus have dominated recent games against Atalanta, winning 26 of the last 34 meetings between the two sides, with the home team claiming just two victories along the way.
Conclusion
Atalanta are unlikely to be easy opponents for the reigning champions. Gasperini’s side are undefeated against the Bianconeri in the last three meetings between the teams. However, we believe Sarri’s team will record a narrow win, which is why we are backing them at odds of 11/8 for victory. We are also backing the over 2.5 goals at odds of 8/11, as both teams have such attacking threats.
Verdict: Back the away win at odds of 11/8 and/or the over 2.5 goals at odds of 8/11 (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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