Prediction and odds for the game: Atletico Madrid (7/4) v Barcelona (8/5) We back are backing the draw at odds of 23/10.
When: Sunday 1st December 2019, Kick-off 8 PM
Where: Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Los Rojiblancos are on a poor run of form heading into this difficult clash, having won just once in their last six games in all competitions. Last time out, Diego Simeone’s team suffered a 1-0 defeat at Italian giants Juventus in the Champions League.
However, the home side are ten games undefeated in the Spanish top-flight, which has kept them just three points behind league leaders Barcelona. The only problem for Atletico is that they have drawn seven of those ten undefeated games.
Their recent La Liga matches have been typical of Atletico in recent seasons, as ten of their last 11 games has produced under 2.5 goals scored.
Simeone’s team has a strong recent La Liga home record, winning ten of their previous 14 matches on home soil. However, Atleti have only won four of their last eight games at the Wanda Metropolitano in La Liga. Their recent outings on home soil in the Spanish top-flight have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last nine home games.
Barcelona
The reigning champions are currently top of the table, but have arch-rivals Real Madrid are breathing down the Catalan giants necks on the same amount of points. Ernesto Valverde’s team are also three points ahead of the home side.
The reigning champions are now five games undefeated in all competitions. A 3-1 win over Dortmund in midweek in the Champions League means that the Blaugrana have won four straight wins while scoring at least two goals in each of the victories.
Valverde’s recent record in La Liga has also been strong, as they have now recorded wins in seven of their last eight outings in the Spanish top-flight. They have have been outstanding in attack, scoring at least twice in ten of their previous 12 matches.
Despite their lofty position in La Liga, Barcelona’s recent record on the road in the Spanish top-flight is inconsistent. In fact, the Blaugrana have won just three times in nine league games on the road, although those three away wins have been in their last four away games in the top-flight.
The visitors away games are usually high-scoring in La Liga, as five of their last eight away matches have produced over 2.5 goals. There have also been at least two goals scored in nine of their previous ten away games in the Spanish top-flight.
Conclusion
Barcelona head to the capital having pulled off some good results of late. However, their performances have not matched their results in La Liga of late.
Atletico Madrid are an extremely difficult team beat and have the capability to hold the visitors. That is why we are back the draw. Due to the home sides recent low-scoring games, we are also backing the under 2.5 goals scored, as the home side are rarely involved in a goal-fest.
Verdict: Back the draw at odds of 23/10 and/or the under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Can Barcelona maintain their lead at the top of La Liga by defeating Atletico Madrid?
