Prediction and odds for the game: Alaves (6/4) v Valencia (15/8)
We are backing the away win
When: Friday 6th March 2020, Kick-off 8 PM
Where: Estadio de Mendizorroza
On Friday night, Valencia face a potentially tough trip to midtable Alaves, as Los Ches chase a Champions League spot in La Liga.
Alaves
The home side is currently 13th place in La Liga, nine points clear of the relegation zone and 12 points off the European spots in the Spanish top-flight.
Asier Garitano’s team have been inconsistent of late in La Liga, but they have suffered just one defeat in their last five league outings. Last time out the home side drew 1-1 at Leganes.
Their recent league outings have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in five of their last eight league matches.
Alaves’ recent home record in La Liga is the definition of inconsistent, as they have won two, drawn two and lost of their last five outings at the Mendizorroza. However, those two wins have been in their last two games on home soil in the Spanish top-flight against Eibar and Athletic Club.
Their recent home matches in La Liga have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven matches. Both teams have also scored in Alaves last six home games in the Spanish top-flight.
Valencia
The visitors are still eyeing up a Champions League spot in La Liga, despite currently being seventh place in the table. However, Los Ches are just a point outside the top-six and four outside the top-four, so are very much in contention for European football next season.
The visitor’s recent results have not helped their bid for European football next season, as they have won just once in their last four matches in La Liga. A 2-1 win against Real Betis last time out in the Spanish top-flight ended a three-game winless run in La Liga for Los Ches.
Valencia’s recent league games have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in their last four La Liga outings. The fact that they have conceded at least two goals in three of their last four league games been a big factor in those high-scoring games.
Los Ches have a poor recent away record in La Liga, as they have failed to win in four league matches on their travels, suffering three straight defeats. They have also conceded at least three goals in their last three away games in the Spanish top-flight.
Conclusion
Neither of these teams are in great form heading into this clash. Therefore, it’s a hard game to judge. However, we are backing the away win, as Los Ches have the superior quality and the players will feel that win could be vital in the fight for European spots.
We are also backing the over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 13/10, as Alaves’ home games are generally high-scoring, as are Valencia’s away matches.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds 15/8 and/or over 2.5 goals at odds of 13/10. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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