Prediction and odds for the game: Augsburg (21/10) v Wolfsburg (5/4)
We are backing the away win
When: Saturday, 16th May 2020, Kick-off 14:30
Where: The WWK Arena
On Saturday, Augsburg host Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga, as both teams will look to make a winning return to league action after the enforced break.
Augsburg
Prior to the break in play, Augsburg were on a poor run of form that saw them drop to 14th place in the table, five points clear of the relegation play-off spot in the Bundesliga. A run of just one win in their last nine league outings has played a big part in their slump in the table. To make matters worse they have lost seven of those nine matches.
Augsburg main problem in that recent poor run of form has been their poor defensive displays. The home side have conceded at least twice in seven of their last nine league games. In fact, only three teams in the German top-flight have conceded more goals this season than Heiko Herrlich’s team.
The home side have encountered mixed fortunes on home soil of late in the top-flight. However, a record of one win in their last four league games at the WWK Arena is poor. Despite their relatively unconvincing recent home record, Augsburg have been prolific on home soil, scoring at least twice in eight of their last nine matches.
Wolfsburg
While the home side look nervously over their shoulders, the Wolves are looking up honing in on Schalke in sixth-place. Oliver Glasner’s team are just a point behind the Royal Blues, who occupy the final European berth in the German top-flight.
Wolfsburg head into this game on the back of a six-game unbeaten run in the Bundesliga. The Wolves position would have been even better had they not drawn their last two league games in the top-flight. The visitors most recent league games have been high-scoring with over 2.5 goals scored in six of their last eight league matches.
Wolfsburg’s recent away record in the Bundesliga is decent, as they are unbeaten in three league matches on their travels, having recorded two wins and a draw. Just like their league games in general, their recent away matches have been high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored in their last four matches. The fact that they have both conceded and scored at least twice in their last three away matches was a key reason for the big scoring away matches.
Conclusion
The form book suggests that Wolfsburg will come out on top in this clash. We agree and are backing the Wolves to pull off what could be a pivotal victory in the race for European spots. The other bet we are backing is the over 2.5 goals, as Augsburg are a big attacking threat on home soil, while Glasner’s team have been prolific on their travels of late.
Verdict: We are backing the away win at odds of 5/4 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 10/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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