Prediction and odds for the game: Wolfsburg (8/11) v Freiburg (10/3)
We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 11/8
When: Saturday, 13th June 2020, Kick-off 14:30
Where: The Volkswagen Arena
On Saturday afternoon, Wolfsburg host Freiburg at the Volkswagen Arena, in a game that could be crucial in the race for European spots in the Bundesliga.
Wolfsburg
The Wolves have experienced mixed fortunes since the return of the Bundesliga last month. A 1-0 win at Werder Bremen last time out means that Oliver Glasner’s team has won three and lost two of their games in the German top-flight.
Despite their recent inconsistent form, the home team still occupy the last European spot in the German top-flight. However, they are only two points clear of seventh-place Hoffenheim. With their rivals facing a tough game against RB Leipzig, the Wolves have a chance this weekend to move further clear in the race for the top-six spots.
Wolfsburg would have already sewn up a top-six spot by now if it wasn’t for woeful recent home form. The Wolves have won just once in their last seven league games at the Volkswagen Arena. To make matters worse, they have lost their last two home matches in the league against Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt. Their recent home games in the Bundesliga have been low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their previous five home games.
Freiburg
The visitors will still believe that they can catch Saturday’s opponents and clinch a European spot. Christian Streich’s team are four points behind the Wolves after a poor recent run of form in the German top-flight. A 1-0 win over Monchengladbach last time out ended a four-game winless run in the Bundesliga for the team from the Black Forest.
Freiburg’s recent games in the Bundesliga have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in four of their last five league matches.
The visitors may well be in a much stronger position if it had not been for their poor recent away form in the German top-flight. Streich’s team have won just once in their last 12 league matches on their travels, having failed to win in their last five away games on the road. Their recent away games in the Bundesliga have been relatively low-scoring, with under 2.5 goals scored in three of their last four outings.
One positive for Freiburg heading into this clash is their recent record against Wolfsburg, as they are unbeaten in three meetings with the home side, having recorded two wins and a draw.
Conclusion
Wolfsburg have just been so inconsistent of late and their recent home record does not inspire much confidence. However, we are backing Glasner’s team to record a victory in a low-scoring encounter against Freiburg. The low-scoring part is due to Wolfsburg home games and the visitors recent away matches both being relatively low-scoring.
Verdict: We are backing under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 11/8 and/or the home win at odds of 8/11. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Who will further their European ambitions at the Volkswagen Arena?
