Prediction and odds for the game: Newcastle (7/1) vs Manchester City (4/11)

We are backing draw/Manchester City at odds of 3/1

When: Sunday 21 August 2022, Kick-off 16:30

Where: St James Park

On Sunday afternoon, Newcastle hosts Manchester City at St James Park as the reigning Premier League champions look to continue their winning start to the new league campaign.

Newcastle

The Magpies have enjoyed a solid start to the new Premier League campaign. Eddie Howe’s team has picked up four points from their opening two league outings. The team from north east kicked off their campaign with a 2-0 home win over Nottingham Forest before a goalless draw at Brighton last time out.

The draw against Brighton means that Newcastle are unbeaten in four league games dating back to last season, having recorded three wins and a draw. In fact, the last team to beat the Magpies was Sunday’s opponents Manchester City, who hammered Howe’s team 5-0 at the Etihad Stadium in May.

Newcastle has a formidable recent home record in the Premier League, having won eight of their last nine league matches at St James Park. The team from the north east has built their recent stellar home record on strong defensive foundations, as they have kept clean sheets in four of their last six home games in the Premier League.

Manchester City

The reigning champions have started the campaign with a 2-0 win at West Ham before a 4-0 home mauling of Bournemouth last time out. The win last time out means that the Citizens are unbeaten in their previous 14 Premier League matches, having recorded 11 victories.

Pep Guardiola’s team has been highly prolific of late in the English top flight, scoring at least two goals in their last 11 matches in the Premier League.

The English champions are 19 away games unbeaten in the English top-flight, recording 15 victories in the process. In fact, the Citizens have won 27 of their last 33 away matches in the Premier League.

City have been highly effective on their travels at both ends of the field. They have scored at least two goals in their last five away games in the English top-flight. At the other end of the pitch, Guardiola’s team has kept six clean sheets in their previous eight matches on their travels in the Premier League.

The visitors have an excellent recent record against Newcastle, beating the Magpies in the previous six matches in all competitions.

Conclusion

This is a classic case of a very good home team facing a team that thrives on their travels. This game is likely to be far closer than the last meeting between these two teams. It could even be a tight clash.

With that in mind, we are taking a punt on under 2.5 goals scored. The other bet we are backing is draw/Manchester City, as we believe that Newcastle could well hold the champions in the first half, but the Citizens will have enough to win the game.

Our Tips: We are backing draw/Manchester City at odds of 3/1 and/or under 2.5 goals scored at odds of 6/5. (All odds are taken from Bet365).

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