Prediction and odds for the game: Koln (19/20) v Mainz (13/5)
We are backing the home win
When: Sunday, 17th May 2020, Kick-off 14:30
Where: The RheinEnergieStadion
On Sunday afternoon, Koln host Mainz at the RheinEnergieStadion, in a big game for the visitor’s chances of avoiding being dragged into the fight for survival in the Bundesliga.
Koln
The home side are sitting comfortably in midtable and are just five points off the top-six in the German top-flight. It seems unlikely that they will be able to mount a challenge for a European spot. However, even without a top-six finish, this season has been a solid campaign for the Billy Goats in the Bundesliga.
Before the enforced break in action, Koln were in decent form. A 2-1 defeat at Monchengladbach in their last Bundesliga outing ended a three-game winning run in the league for Markus Gisdol’s team. The game also ended a prolific run of scoring form, as the home side had scored at least twice in their previous league matches.
Koln have a respectable recent home record in the German top-flight, winning five of their last six home matches in the Bundesliga. A big factor in those wins was their attacking prowess, as they have scored at least three times in three of their last four league games on home soil.
The Billy Goats are unbeaten in five meetings with Mainz on home soil, winning the last two meetings.
Mainz
The visitors are in a precarious position in the Bundesliga table, just four points clear of the relegation play-off spot in the German top-flight. A run of just two wins in their last nine league matches has hindered their chances of dropping into that 16th position in the table. Before the break in play, Achim Beierlorzer’s team picked up four points from two home games against Paderborn and Fortuna Dusseldorf.
The games were low-scoring, which has been something of a trend for Mainz in the German top-flight of late, as three of their last four Bundesliga games have produced under 2.5 goals.
Mainz have been poor travellers in recent seasons in the German top-flight. The visitors have lost 15 of their last 20 league matches on their travels, winning on just five occasions. Their away games in the Bundesliga always seem to produce goals, as their last seven league matches on the road have produced over 2.5 goals.
One of the main struggles for Mainz in their games at Koln has been scoring goals, as they have failed to score in three of their last four trips to the RheinEnergieStadion.
Conclusion
We are backing the home win ion this clash, as Koln were in the better form before the break and their home record of late is decent. We also believe that this game will be a high-scoring affair, so we are also backing over 2.5 goals scored.
Verdict: We are backing the home win at odds of 19/20 and/or over 2.5 goals scored at odds of 4/6. (All odds are taken from Bet365).
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Will Koln continue their decent recent home record in this clash?
